2025 Gold Cup Odds: Books Hope USMNT Can ‘Get the Job Done’ Against Mexico

Updated Jul. 6, 2025, 4:32 p.m. 777pub.com. ET

By Patrick Everson, FOX Sports Betting Analyst

Bookmakers got exactly what they wanted from the Gold Cup odds market: a clash between the USA and Mexico in Houston, marking a championship showdown that wraps up the Fourth of July weekend. The match will kick off at 7 p.m. ET Sunday on FOX, where the U.S. Men’s National Team will face off against El Tri.

“This is definitely the match we want. I’d say Mexico is the USA’s biggest rival,” stated BetMGM Nevada’s Scott Shelton on Friday evening.

Mexico Moves to Favorite

On Wednesday, Team USA secured a 2-1 semifinal victory over Guatemala, thanks to two goals from Diego Luna within the first 15 minutes. Meanwhile, Mexico won their semifinal match against Honduras with a score of 1-0. Following these results, BetMGM Nevada released the three-way odds for Sunday’s title match, labeling it a toss-up: Mexico +170/USA +170, with the draw at +200. However, Mexico has since moved to the favorite.

“Ticket-wise, there’s literally one more ticket on the U.S. than on Mexico. But money-wise, it’s 3/1 on Mexico. The draw only has a handful of tickets,” Shelton explained.

As it stands, Mexico is now a modest +145 favorite, while the U.S. is at +190 and the draw sits at +210. What this means is that if you place a $100 bet on Team USA and they win, you will profit $190 (total payout of $290) if they secure victory within 90 minutes plus injury time.

It’s important to note that if you bet on the U.S. in the three-way market, your bet does not extend to overtime or penalties. Therefore, should the U e sabong online registration.S. win in overtime or via penalties, your ticket would be considered a loser peso888 com. To avoid that risk, you might want to consider the two-way “To Lift The Trophy” market, where Mexico is priced at -135 and the USA offers even money (+100). This way, your bet remains active regardless of whether the match finishes in regulation, goes to overtime, or ends in penalty kicks.

Tie Goes to The Sportsbook

As is frequently the case in soccer, particularly in high-stakes international matches, BetMGM Nevada is hoping for a tie after 90 minutes plus injury time. “By kickoff, we’re gonna need a draw. That will end up being our best-case scenario,” Shelton noted. “Mexico will be just as heavily bet as the USA.”

This implies that bookmakers are rooting for Sunday’s match to extend into overtime and potentially even into penalty kicks. Caesars Sports shares this sentiment, expressing their desire for a U.S. victory on this Fourth of July weekend lodi vip.ph login.

“Draws are always a book-friendly result,” said Caesars head of soccer trading Mark Bickerdike. “Ideally, the U.S. getting the job done, preferably on penalties, would be the most favorable outcome for us.”

Patrick Everson is a sports betting analyst for FOX Sports and a senior reporter for VegasInsider.com. He is a respected journalist in the national sports betting arena and is based in Las Vegas, where he enjoys golfing even in the sweltering 110-degree heat. Follow him on X: @PatrickE_Vegas 77ph bet sign up.

What do you think about the upcoming USA vs. Mexico match in the Gold Cup final?

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